RESUMO
Purpose: During the period 2022 until January 2023, several new global issues emerged besides the COVID-19 pandemic and had an impact on economic. This study aims to examine the weak form of market efficiency in Indonesia under the assumption that uncertain economic conditions tend to affect systematic risk and cause stock returns randomly move. Methodology: This study employs time series data based on the stock returns of 766 firms in Indonesia during the period January 3, 2022, to January 31, 2023. To detect random walk, the runs test is conducted with supporting of the variance ratio test. Findings: Systematic risk plays an important role in risky assets' efficiency during uncertain economic events which is consistent with the random walk theory. Otherwise, the impact of uncertain economic events on less risky assets gives the investors possibility to obtain extraordinary returns or abnormal returns. Originality/Value: This study examines market efficiency by taking into account the systematic risk of assets that are rarely analyzed at present.
RESUMO
The risk in an investment activity is always there and it cannot be denied that these risk factors influence someone to invest. After the COVID-19 pandemic period and vaccines have been carried out so that development in Indonesia will start running again. So the CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model) approach in assessing a stock that is less risky to the overall market price in the Kompas100 index and the NPM (Net Profit Margin) probability ratio on stocks that are always able to generate profits every year are expected to help the public and potential investors. in making investment decisions in accordance with the risk profile.
RESUMO
In the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, investors need to see and assess the level of risk to determine investment decisions. With various government policies, especially the Sales Tax Incentive on Luxury Goods (PPn BM), we can assess and compare the level of risk and risk before the issuance of this regulation, so that investors can make the best investment decisions in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. The stock beta for the automotive sector was still stable when the PPn BM incentive was implemented, as shown by the calculation of the CAPM Capital Asset Pricing Model, which is mostly below 1. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is still felt in world investment and tends to improve over time.